中文翻译：

目前战争的情况是这样的：俄国人没有取得进展，甚至在某些地方被逼退，但乌克兰人也难以夺回领土，因此，虽然前线相对稳定，但损失很大。简而言之，我们可以将其与第一次世界大战相比。

第一次世界大战期间，德国人迅速占领了法国东北部的地区，随后局势稳定下来。前线维持多年没有变化。双方都试图通过发动大规模的进攻行动来疏通局势，因此出现了凡尔登、索姆河等著名战役。在这场战争中，损失显然会比第一次世界大战时低。不过，我们还是会看到这样的景象：尽管战损很大，但事情并没有多大变化。

在我看来，我们必须为一场长期的消耗战做好准备，这是除了失败之外最糟糕的情况。

原文：THE SITUATION IN UKRAINE

Here is the situation of the war: the Russians do not advance and are even pushed back in certain places. The Ukrainians are having difficulty retaking the territories. The front is therefore rather stable, but the losses are high. In short, we could compare this to the First World War.

During World War I, the Germans quickly took over part of northeastern France. The situation then stabilized. The front has not moved for years. Each side was trying to unblock the situation by launching huge offensive operations. Hence the battles of Verdun, La Somme, etc. In this war, the losses will obviously be lower than in the First World War. Still, we will get the impression that things don't change that much, despite the high losses.

In my opinion, we must prepare for a long war of attrition. This is the worst case scenario, apart from a defeat.